19/07/26

REGISTRY TEAM TRACKS SHIFTING VOTER TRENDS IN NEW IRELAND BY-ELECTION

An observation team from the Office of the Registry of Political Parties and Candidates Commission has completed an extensive monitoring task in New Ireland Province, uncovering major shifts in voter behavior and deep-rooted political rivalries. Deployed to Kavieng from January 16th to 23rd, 2026, the commission’s team was assigned with evaluating political party performance, measuring voter perceptions, and assessing the participation of women during the provincial by-election. The officials from the IPPCC collected these findings, highlighting a changing political landscape following the passing of the former Prime Minister, People’s Progress Party (PPP) founder and Governor, Late Sir Julius Chan.
Commission Captures Voter Backlash
Using targeted questionnaire guides and face-to-face interviews during exit polls, the Registry’s team documented a significant breakdown in traditional party-line voting. In the past, New Ireland voters have strictly aligned with major party platforms. However, the recent controversial strategies during the recent by-election disrupted this trend. The nation's oldest political entity, Pangu Pati, chose not to endorse its own candidate, instead joining forces with the PPP to back Byron Chan, the late Governor’s son. Commission observers recorded widespread dissatisfaction among grass-roots party followers, who openly criticized the alliance. Locals told Registry’s branding the coalition a "political marriage of convenience" designed solely to maintain hereditary control. The report notes that this internal friction drove a large portion of traditional party loyalists to abandon the coalition candidate and cast their votes for independents instead. Out of ten contesting candidates, seven ran as independents.
Key Candidate Platforms and Cultural Hurdles Monitored
The Registry team monitored the campaigns of several prominent contenders, noting distinct differences in strategy and public reception: In the case of Byron Chan (PPP) coming from a strongly leveraged established party machinery and received a wave of "sympathy votes," a succession trend the Registry notes has been repeated in other recent by-elections like Bulolo, Maprik, and Porgera-Paiela. For Kepas Aruban Wali (Independent) which merged as the primary challenger to the Chan dynasty. Running on the slogan "Mangi Ples Yet" (A Local Boy), Wali drew large crowds. Registry interviews revealed his message resonated deeply with voters frustrated that a province hosting two major gold mines has seen little to no new infrastructure. The lone female candidate in the race, Rhodie Paut-Nawara (Independent), presented a comprehensive 100-day policy platform focusing on power generation, water supplies, and medical facility scoping. Despite Paut-Nawara’s strong third-place finish in the 2022 National General Election, the Registry’s team observed that the deeply engrained patriarchal Maimai (Chief) culture continues to severely restrict the political advancement of women. Local interviews conducted by the team confirmed that because male chiefs dominate community decision-making, the chances for female candidates remain slim without a coordinated shift in cultural mindsets.
Field Operations and Biometric Testing
Registry officials on the ground monitored all six polling stations within the Kavieng Urban LLG, reporting a highly peaceful environment with no security incidents and a light police presence. The commission highlighted a notable administrative trial: polling officials successfully captured facial photographs of voters at exit points. This initiative was implemented to build data security ahead of the biometric voting roll-out planned for the 2027 National General Election which may not happen following confirmation from the PNG Electoral Commission.However, the team flagged a severe, recurring warning for electoral authorities. Many elderly citizens in their 50s and 60s discovered their names were entirely missing from the common roll—an ongoing issue previously documented in 2017 and 2022. While the Election Manager received last-minute clearance to utilize the 2022 supplementary list to rectify some omissions, the Registry warned that unresolved common roll issues could trigger widespread chaos in the 2027 national elections if left unaddressed.
Post-Election Standoff Following Declaration
The counting process finally endorsed the Registry's field observations of a highly competitive race. Byron Chan was declared the winner after the elimination of National Alliance candidate Joshua Takin Soi provided the necessary preference flow. Chan secured the seat with 21,481 votes, defeating runner-up Kepas Wali (15,725 votes) by a margin of 5,756.